Introducing Copula Functions to Estimate the Reliability of Dependent Mechanical Systems

Authors

  • Adhitya Ryan Ramadhani Universitas Pertamina
  • Waskito Pranowo Universitas Pertamina

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.26593/jrsi.v13i2.7219.103-112

Keywords:

Reliability, Copula Functions, Mechanical system, Dependent case, Correlation

Abstract

This paper addresses the challenge of assessing the reliability of complex mechanical systems where components are inherently correlated in their failure modes. Traditionally, the assumption of independence among these components has been employed, but it often fails to capture the real-world complexities. To overcome this limitation, copula functions are introduced as a robust methodology for modeling the dependent relationships between correlated variables within mechanical systems. This paper aims to demonstrate the utility of copulas in estimating system reliability while accounting for these dependencies. The results reveal that the Clayton copula emerges as the most suitable model for representing dependence in such systems. Importantly, the reliability estimates obtained through copula-based methods not only reflect the complex interdependencies accurately but also align with the principles of the boundary theory of reliability. This research underscores the potential of copula-based reliability estimation as a valuable alternative, offering a more comprehensive and precise assessment of reliability in complex mechanical systems and holding significant promise for practical engineering applications. This framework allows the consideration of dependence among the observed variables that is usually overlooked in engineering practice.

Author Biographies

Adhitya Ryan Ramadhani, Universitas Pertamina

Teknik Mesin

Waskito Pranowo, Universitas Pertamina

Teknik Geofisika

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Published

2024-10-22